Prediction markets

Live odds from the most-traded prediction markets — crypto price calls first, then everything the world is betting on. Probabilities are real money, not polls. Updated every 5 minutes.

Crypto markets

Macro & rates — via Kalshi

Most traded — all markets

Fed Decision in September?
No change63%
25 bps increase37%
25 bps decrease2%
+2 more outcomes
$2.62M traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Sep 16, 2026
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed95%
Gedion Timothewos2%
Belete Molla1%
+5 more outcomes
$2.48M traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Jun 1, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3196%
October 3191%
September 3088%
+10 more outcomes
$1.35M traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Aug 31, 2026
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?54%
O/U 2.5 Games51%
+27 more outcomes
$872.7K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Aug 8, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
August 3113%
August 151%
$644.4K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Aug 31, 2026
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance43%
Marco Rubio23%
Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
$625.3K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Nov 7, 2028
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes55%
$622.1K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Dec 9, 2026
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
First Blood in Game 1?>99%
Game 1 Winner90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?84%
+29 more outcomes
$571.5K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Aug 8, 2026
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva65%
Flávio Bolsonaro27%
Renan Santos7%
+14 more outcomes
$536.5K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 4, 2026
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Paris Saint-Germain14%
Barcelona14%
Real Madrid14%
+26 more outcomes
$496.9K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses May 30, 2027
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
+3 more outcomes
$478.8K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Aug 8, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
August 3194%
August 1492%
July 3189%
$462.9K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Aug 31, 2026
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)68%
New People (NL)22%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)5%
+5 more outcomes
$439.1K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Sep 20, 2026
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202731%
December 3124%
November 3017%
+5 more outcomes
$410.0K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Dec 31, 2026
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega
Under71%
Over29%
$409.8K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Aug 8, 2026
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom18%
Jon Ossoff16%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
+48 more outcomes
$395.6K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Nov 7, 2028
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)86%
1 (25 bps)10%
2 (50 bps)3%
+10 more outcomes
$349.2K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Dec 31, 2026
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance21%
Marco Rubio13%
Gavin Newsom10%
+47 more outcomes
$318.5K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Nov 7, 2028
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
↓ $7592%
↑ $8065%
↓ $7055%
+18 more outcomes
$318.1K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Sep 1, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 999%
August 1594%
August 3183%
+3 more outcomes
$316.8K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Aug 31, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026?
180-19934%
160-17927%
200-21919%
+18 more outcomes
$290.1K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Aug 11, 2026