Prediction markets

Live odds from the most-traded prediction markets — crypto price calls first, then everything the world is betting on. Probabilities are real money, not polls. Updated every 5 minutes.

Crypto markets

Macro & rates — via Kalshi

Most traded — all markets

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia Navalnaya27%
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms24%
Mykola Kuleba23%
+39 more outcomes
$3.42M traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Apr 1, 2027
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro86%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva14%
$2.74M traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 5, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?
320-33975%
340-35920%
360-3793%
+7 more outcomes
$2.63M traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 9, 2026
Fed Decision in October?
No change85%
25 bps increase16%
25 bps decrease<1%
+2 more outcomes
$2.00M traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 29, 2026
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Barcelona23%
Bayern Munich14%
Arsenal14%
+33 more outcomes
$1.24M traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Jun 20, 2027
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State
Over50%
Under50%
$1.06M traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 8, 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen41%
Édouard Philippe22%
David Lisnard13%
+39 more outcomes
$874.4K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Apr 19, 2027
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu Set Handicap +/-1.5>99%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu Match O/U 23.51%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Yibing Wu Game Spread +/-4.5<1%
+8 more outcomes
$754.0K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 17, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 3168%
December 3149%
November 3037%
+2 more outcomes
$708.5K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Jan 1, 2027
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 999%
October 1295%
October 1593%
+4 more outcomes
$652.1K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 31, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
340-35917%
360-37916%
380-39913%
+13 more outcomes
$652.1K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 13, 2026
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Team Synapse50%
Blasterbl50%
$648.0K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 8, 2026
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
Gavin Newsom15%
Jon Ossoff15%
+50 more outcomes
$590.9K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Nov 8, 2028
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep63%
R Senate, D House28%
Republicans Sweep9%
+2 more outcomes
$577.9K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Nov 4, 2026
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx Match O/U 23.5>99%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx Game Spread +/-1.51%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Blockx Set Handicap +/-1.5<1%
+3 more outcomes
$572.1K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 17, 2026
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane53%
Lamine Yamal39%
Lionel Messi3%
+16 more outcomes
$497.3K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Jan 1, 2027
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina Set 2 O/U 8.5>99%
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina Match O/U 21.580%
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina Match O/U 22.575%
+8 more outcomes
$426.4K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 16, 2026
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
+8 more outcomes
$382.3K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 9, 2026
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202711%
June 30, 20279%
+1 more outcomes
$343.3K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Jan 1, 2029
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%
$341.4K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Nov 4, 2026
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)66%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5)50%
+8 more outcomes
$315.0K traded 24h · Polymarketcloses Oct 9, 2026